Wednesday, December 24, 2008

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Jets Just Lucky?

Really cool website here: Advanced NFL Stats.

And they wrote about The NFL's Luckiest Teams which lists the Jets as the luckiest.


I estimate team luck by using my efficiency regression model to calculate each team's expected wins--how many wins a team can normally expect, on average, given their actual performance in offensive and defensive running, passing, turnovers, and penalties. The difference between the expected wins and actual wins is what I loosely call team luck.





www.metspolice.com
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